Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 4 amid overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light northwest winds that suppressed further warming while maintaining high humidity near 70%. This aligns with seasonal norms for early September, where typical highs range 29–31°C, and recent model runs showed minimal deviation from observed values. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 31°C reflects the strong alignment between real-time station data and forecast guidance. A revision in official maximum readings or use of an alternate measurement site could theoretically shift resolution, though such changes remain rare given established verification protocols.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
31°C 99.9%
30°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$202,512 KL.
$202,512 KL.
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.9%
30°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$202,512 KL.
$202,512 KL.
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$15,994 KL.
<1%
24°C
$214 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,388 KL.
<1%
26°C
$2,013 KL.
<1%
27°C
$10,242 KL.
<1%
28°C
$15,262 KL.
<1%
29°C
$29,386 KL.
<1%
30°C
$32,203 KL.
<1%
31°C
$46,941 KL.
100%
32°C
$31,631 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$17,241 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 4 amid overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light northwest winds that suppressed further warming while maintaining high humidity near 70%. This aligns with seasonal norms for early September, where typical highs range 29–31°C, and recent model runs showed minimal deviation from observed values. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 31°C reflects the strong alignment between real-time station data and forecast guidance. A revision in official maximum readings or use of an alternate measurement site could theoretically shift resolution, though such changes remain rare given established verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$202,512Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 4 amid overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light northwest winds that suppressed further warming while maintaining high humidity near 70%. This aligns with seasonal norms for early September, where typical highs range 29–31°C, and recent model runs showed minimal deviation from observed values. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 31°C reflects the strong alignment between real-time station data and forecast guidance. A revision in official maximum readings or use of an alternate measurement site could theoretically shift resolution, though such changes remain rare given established verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$202,512Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 4 amid overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light northwest winds that suppressed further warming while maintaining high humidity near 70%. This aligns with seasonal norms for early September, where typical highs range 29–31°C, and recent model runs showed minimal deviation from observed values. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 31°C reflects the strong alignment between real-time station data and forecast guidance. A revision in official maximum readings or use of an alternate measurement site could theoretically shift resolution, though such changes remain rare given established verification protocols.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp