Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with widespread cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms, is suppressing daytime heating in Manila on September 5, 2026, keeping the official maximum temperature at Ninoy Aquino International Airport near 29°C according to PAGASA and global model consensus. This aligns with typical September baselines under similar monsoon regimes, where heavy precipitation and high humidity limit solar insolation and prevent the 31–32°C highs more common in drier conditions. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 29°C reflects this strong observational and forecast agreement from NOAA-aligned data. A rapid shift to clearer skies or delayed monsoon strengthening could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though current model runs show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on September 5?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$32,621 KL.
$32,621 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$32,621 KL.
$32,621 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with widespread cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms, is suppressing daytime heating in Manila on September 5, 2026, keeping the official maximum temperature at Ninoy Aquino International Airport near 29°C according to PAGASA and global model consensus. This aligns with typical September baselines under similar monsoon regimes, where heavy precipitation and high humidity limit solar insolation and prevent the 31–32°C highs more common in drier conditions. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 29°C reflects this strong observational and forecast agreement from NOAA-aligned data. A rapid shift to clearer skies or delayed monsoon strengthening could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though current model runs show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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