Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6 most likely in the 30–32°C range, driven by widespread monsoon cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and a 70–95% probability of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong implied probability for 31°C as the peak, consistent with observed maxima near 32°C in early September and typical late-monsoon steering patterns. Model consensus shows limited upward potential beyond 32°C absent clearer skies, while downside risk to 29°C or below remains low given persistent warmth and dew points above 25°C. Updated IMD briefings and refined model runs expected later today will further refine resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
31°C 51%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
25%
31°C
51%
32°C
21%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 51%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$395 KL.
<1%
25°C
$135 KL.
<1%
26°C
$311 KL.
<1%
27°C
$220 KL.
1%
28°C
$393 KL.
2%
29°C
$499 KL.
5%
30°C
$172 KL.
25%
31°C
$396 KL.
51%
32°C
$313 KL.
21%
33°C
$89 KL.
3%
34°C or higher
$196 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6 most likely in the 30–32°C range, driven by widespread monsoon cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and a 70–95% probability of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong implied probability for 31°C as the peak, consistent with observed maxima near 32°C in early September and typical late-monsoon steering patterns. Model consensus shows limited upward potential beyond 32°C absent clearer skies, while downside risk to 29°C or below remains low given persistent warmth and dew points above 25°C. Updated IMD briefings and refined model runs expected later today will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,119Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6 most likely in the 30–32°C range, driven by widespread monsoon cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and a 70–95% probability of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong implied probability for 31°C as the peak, consistent with observed maxima near 32°C in early September and typical late-monsoon steering patterns. Model consensus shows limited upward potential beyond 32°C absent clearer skies, while downside risk to 29°C or below remains low given persistent warmth and dew points above 25°C. Updated IMD briefings and refined model runs expected later today will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,119Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6 most likely in the 30–32°C range, driven by widespread monsoon cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and a 70–95% probability of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong implied probability for 31°C as the peak, consistent with observed maxima near 32°C in early September and typical late-monsoon steering patterns. Model consensus shows limited upward potential beyond 32°C absent clearer skies, while downside risk to 29°C or below remains low given persistent warmth and dew points above 25°C. Updated IMD briefings and refined model runs expected later today will further refine resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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