PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 24 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C amid southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions that deliver scattered rains and high humidity, anchoring trader consensus around those levels while the spread across 24–28°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact minimums. Persistent cloud cover from the monsoon limits nocturnal radiative cooling, often elevating minimum temperatures compared to drier periods, though localized thunderstorms or brief wind shifts can enhance cooling and push readings lower. Urban heat island effects in Manila further moderate extremes, keeping values close to the seasonal 24–27°C baseline. With resolution tied to official PAGASA or airport station data, traders monitor the next updated model runs and 24-hour public forecasts for shifts in rain timing or intensity that could alter the overnight low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on August 24?
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
24°C 27%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
14%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
25%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
-
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
24°C 27%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
14%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
25%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 24 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C amid southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions that deliver scattered rains and high humidity, anchoring trader consensus around those levels while the spread across 24–28°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact minimums. Persistent cloud cover from the monsoon limits nocturnal radiative cooling, often elevating minimum temperatures compared to drier periods, though localized thunderstorms or brief wind shifts can enhance cooling and push readings lower. Urban heat island effects in Manila further moderate extremes, keeping values close to the seasonal 24–27°C baseline. With resolution tied to official PAGASA or airport station data, traders monitor the next updated model runs and 24-hour public forecasts for shifts in rain timing or intensity that could alter the overnight low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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