Persistent high pressure and a warm, moist air mass with dew points near 70°F kept overnight minima elevated across Houston on August 22, producing the tight split between the 80-81°F (51.4%) and 78-79°F (49.4%) bins. Subtle differences in model depictions of dew-point depression, timing of any residual cloud cover, and urban heat-island retention explain why probabilities remain nearly even rather than converging on a single range. Official observations from stations such as William P. Hobby Airport show recent lows clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with August climatology but above the long-term average low near 77°F. Updated post-event data releases will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Houston on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 22?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$3,490 KL.
$3,490 KL.
Aug 22, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$3,490 KL.
$3,490 KL.
Aug 22, 2026
71°F or below
$197 KL.
No
72-73°F
$182 KL.
No
74-75°F
$252 KL.
No
76-77°F
$147 KL.
No
78-79°F
$800 KL.
No
80-81°F
$1,053 KL.
Yes
82-83°F
$270 KL.
No
84-85°F
$145 KL.
No
86-87°F
$161 KL.
No
88-89°F
$157 KL.
No
90°F or higher
$127 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a warm, moist air mass with dew points near 70°F kept overnight minima elevated across Houston on August 22, producing the tight split between the 80-81°F (51.4%) and 78-79°F (49.4%) bins. Subtle differences in model depictions of dew-point depression, timing of any residual cloud cover, and urban heat-island retention explain why probabilities remain nearly even rather than converging on a single range. Official observations from stations such as William P. Hobby Airport show recent lows clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with August climatology but above the long-term average low near 77°F. Updated post-event data releases will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,490Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a warm, moist air mass with dew points near 70°F kept overnight minima elevated across Houston on August 22, producing the tight split between the 80-81°F (51.4%) and 78-79°F (49.4%) bins. Subtle differences in model depictions of dew-point depression, timing of any residual cloud cover, and urban heat-island retention explain why probabilities remain nearly even rather than converging on a single range. Official observations from stations such as William P. Hobby Airport show recent lows clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with August climatology but above the long-term average low near 77°F. Updated post-event data releases will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,490Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Persistent high pressure and a warm, moist air mass with dew points near 70°F kept overnight minima elevated across Houston on August 22, producing the tight split between the 80-81°F (51.4%) and 78-79°F (49.4%) bins. Subtle differences in model depictions of dew-point depression, timing of any residual cloud cover, and urban heat-island retention explain why probabilities remain nearly even rather than converging on a single range. Official observations from stations such as William P. Hobby Airport show recent lows clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with August climatology but above the long-term average low near 77°F. Updated post-event data releases will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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