Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS points to northerly flow and partly cloudy skies over Helsinki on August 24, supporting overnight lows near 10–12 °C and driving the 36 % market-implied probability on 8 °C or below. Persistent cool advection from the north has kept daytime maxima 3–4 °C below the 19.3 °C climatological average, enhancing radiative cooling potential after sunset. Traders weigh this against historical precedent—average minimum 12.6 °C, with rare drops to 6–7 °C—and note that final FMI guidance and any last-hour cloud or wind shifts could still alter the exact minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
11°C 37%
8°C or below 36%
12°C 23%
10°C 20%
8°C or below
36%
9°C
19%
10°C
20%
11°C
30%
12°C
23%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
11°C 37%
8°C or below 36%
12°C 23%
10°C 20%
8°C or below
36%
9°C
19%
10°C
20%
11°C
30%
12°C
23%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS points to northerly flow and partly cloudy skies over Helsinki on August 24, supporting overnight lows near 10–12 °C and driving the 36 % market-implied probability on 8 °C or below. Persistent cool advection from the north has kept daytime maxima 3–4 °C below the 19.3 °C climatological average, enhancing radiative cooling potential after sunset. Traders weigh this against historical precedent—average minimum 12.6 °C, with rare drops to 6–7 °C—and note that final FMI guidance and any last-hour cloud or wind shifts could still alter the exact minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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