**Stable National Weather Service forecasts for clear skies and persistent southerly flow point to an overnight low near 80°F in Dallas on September 14, underpinning the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 80–83°F ranges.** Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s, limiting radiational cooling and keeping minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s despite the calendar date. This setup aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern, where average historical lows for mid-September sit near 71°F but current conditions remain several degrees warmer. Minor variations in wind speed or urban heat effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the lower-probability 90°F+ and sub-75°F buckets reflect low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Traders will watch the next NWS update and any late-model runs for adjustments to the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Dallas on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 14?
71°F or below 47%
90°F or higher 47%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
71°F or below
47%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
17%
90°F or higher
47%
71°F or below 47%
90°F or higher 47%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
71°F or below
$0 KL.
47%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
17%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
30%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
30%
78-79°F
$16 KL.
26%
80-81°F
$5 KL.
34%
82-83°F
$5 KL.
34%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
30%
86-87°F
$0 KL.
15%
88-89°F
$0 KL.
17%
90°F or higher
$0 KL.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable National Weather Service forecasts for clear skies and persistent southerly flow point to an overnight low near 80°F in Dallas on September 14, underpinning the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 80–83°F ranges.**
Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s, limiting radiational cooling and keeping minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s despite the calendar date. This setup aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern, where average historical lows for mid-September sit near 71°F but current conditions remain several degrees warmer. Minor variations in wind speed or urban heat effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the lower-probability 90°F+ and sub-75°F buckets reflect low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Traders will watch the next NWS update and any late-model runs for adjustments to the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable National Weather Service forecasts for clear skies and persistent southerly flow point to an overnight low near 80°F in Dallas on September 14, underpinning the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 80–83°F ranges.**
Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s, limiting radiational cooling and keeping minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s despite the calendar date. This setup aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern, where average historical lows for mid-September sit near 71°F but current conditions remain several degrees warmer. Minor variations in wind speed or urban heat effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the lower-probability 90°F+ and sub-75°F buckets reflect low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Traders will watch the next NWS update and any late-model runs for adjustments to the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$26Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Stable National Weather Service forecasts for clear skies and persistent southerly flow point to an overnight low near 80°F in Dallas on September 14, underpinning the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 80–83°F ranges.** Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s, limiting radiational cooling and keeping minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s despite the calendar date. This setup aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern, where average historical lows for mid-September sit near 71°F but current conditions remain several degrees warmer. Minor variations in wind speed or urban heat effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the lower-probability 90°F+ and sub-75°F buckets reflect low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Traders will watch the next NWS update and any late-model runs for adjustments to the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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