Trader consensus clusters tightly around 8–10°C for Cape Town’s minimum on August 31, reflecting model agreement on clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong overnight radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. South African Weather Service and international guidance (GFS, ECMWF) indicate dry conditions with dew points near 6–7°C and winds dropping below 10 km/h after midnight, favoring lows near 10–11°C. Minor spreads in outcomes arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects at official stations versus suburban sites. With no frontal systems or significant cloud cover expected before dawn, probabilities favor the 8–10°C band while allowing for modest downward revisions if models strengthen the inversion.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
9°C 31%
8°C 28%
10°C 27%
6°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
9%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
28%
9°C
31%
10°C
27%
11°C
25%
12°C
24%
13°C
10%
14°C
10%
15°C or higher
<1%
9°C 31%
8°C 28%
10°C 27%
6°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
$80 KL.
9%
6°C
$0 KL.
26%
7°C
$0 KL.
26%
8°C
$0 KL.
28%
9°C
$0 KL.
31%
10°C
$0 KL.
27%
11°C
$0 KL.
25%
12°C
$0 KL.
24%
13°C
$5 KL.
10%
14°C
$5 KL.
10%
15°C or higher
$5 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 8–10°C for Cape Town’s minimum on August 31, reflecting model agreement on clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong overnight radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. South African Weather Service and international guidance (GFS, ECMWF) indicate dry conditions with dew points near 6–7°C and winds dropping below 10 km/h after midnight, favoring lows near 10–11°C. Minor spreads in outcomes arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects at official stations versus suburban sites. With no frontal systems or significant cloud cover expected before dawn, probabilities favor the 8–10°C band while allowing for modest downward revisions if models strengthen the inversion.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$95Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 8–10°C for Cape Town’s minimum on August 31, reflecting model agreement on clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong overnight radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. South African Weather Service and international guidance (GFS, ECMWF) indicate dry conditions with dew points near 6–7°C and winds dropping below 10 km/h after midnight, favoring lows near 10–11°C. Minor spreads in outcomes arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects at official stations versus suburban sites. With no frontal systems or significant cloud cover expected before dawn, probabilities favor the 8–10°C band while allowing for modest downward revisions if models strengthen the inversion.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$95Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 8–10°C for Cape Town’s minimum on August 31, reflecting model agreement on clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong overnight radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. South African Weather Service and international guidance (GFS, ECMWF) indicate dry conditions with dew points near 6–7°C and winds dropping below 10 km/h after midnight, favoring lows near 10–11°C. Minor spreads in outcomes arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects at official stations versus suburban sites. With no frontal systems or significant cloud cover expected before dawn, probabilities favor the 8–10°C band while allowing for modest downward revisions if models strengthen the inversion.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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