Latest European forecast models, including runs from the Met Office and regional centers, project an overnight minimum near 12°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwesterly flow off the North Sea, supporting efficient radiative cooling without extreme conditions. This consensus aligns with typical late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 11–14°C, and has driven the market's strong 94% implied probability for exactly 12°C. Minor deviations remain possible if clearer skies enhance cooling or if wind patterns shift, though current observations and model agreement leave little room for outcomes below 11°C or above 13°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
12°C 97%
11°C 4%
10°C 1.1%
8°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
97%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 97%
11°C 4%
10°C 1.1%
8°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$272 KL.
1%
9°C
$275 KL.
1%
10°C
$572 KL.
1%
11°C
$152 KL.
4%
12°C
$181 KL.
97%
13°C
$397 KL.
<1%
14°C
$586 KL.
<1%
15°C
$530 KL.
<1%
16°C
$449 KL.
<1%
17°C
$322 KL.
<1%
18°C or higher
$367 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European forecast models, including runs from the Met Office and regional centers, project an overnight minimum near 12°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwesterly flow off the North Sea, supporting efficient radiative cooling without extreme conditions. This consensus aligns with typical late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 11–14°C, and has driven the market's strong 94% implied probability for exactly 12°C. Minor deviations remain possible if clearer skies enhance cooling or if wind patterns shift, though current observations and model agreement leave little room for outcomes below 11°C or above 13°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,105Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European forecast models, including runs from the Met Office and regional centers, project an overnight minimum near 12°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwesterly flow off the North Sea, supporting efficient radiative cooling without extreme conditions. This consensus aligns with typical late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 11–14°C, and has driven the market's strong 94% implied probability for exactly 12°C. Minor deviations remain possible if clearer skies enhance cooling or if wind patterns shift, though current observations and model agreement leave little room for outcomes below 11°C or above 13°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,105Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European forecast models, including runs from the Met Office and regional centers, project an overnight minimum near 12°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwesterly flow off the North Sea, supporting efficient radiative cooling without extreme conditions. This consensus aligns with typical late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 11–14°C, and has driven the market's strong 94% implied probability for exactly 12°C. Minor deviations remain possible if clearer skies enhance cooling or if wind patterns shift, though current observations and model agreement leave little room for outcomes below 11°C or above 13°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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