Official MetService forecasts project a 15°C high for Wellington on August 3, 2026, under mainly fine conditions with a chance of evening showers, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Late-winter atmospheric patterns, including potential northerly flow and reduced southerly winds typical of the Cook Strait region, support mild daytime maxima above the seasonal average of around 12–13°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, favoring adjacent values of 16°C while limiting downside risk below 14°C amid stable high-pressure influences. Updated short-range guidance from monitoring agencies will refine wind and cloud cover effects ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 3?
15°C 42%
16°C 39%
14°C 12%
17°C 10%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
12%
15°C
42%
16°C
39%
17°C
10%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 42%
16°C 39%
14°C 12%
17°C 10%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
12%
15°C
42%
16°C
39%
17°C
10%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService forecasts project a 15°C high for Wellington on August 3, 2026, under mainly fine conditions with a chance of evening showers, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Late-winter atmospheric patterns, including potential northerly flow and reduced southerly winds typical of the Cook Strait region, support mild daytime maxima above the seasonal average of around 12–13°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, favoring adjacent values of 16°C while limiting downside risk below 14°C amid stable high-pressure influences. Updated short-range guidance from monitoring agencies will refine wind and cloud cover effects ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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