Trader consensus on the NYC Central Park maximum for August 6 centers on the 88–91°F range because model guidance shows a humid, moderately unstable air mass under a Heat Advisory, with forecast highs near 86–89°F. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures in the upper 80s while clearer breaks or stronger insolation push readings into the low 90s. Surface dew points in the mid-70s elevate heat indices above 95°F, consistent with National Weather Service criteria, yet steering flow and timing of any sea-breeze or outflow boundaries remain key variables that can shift the observed peak by 2–3°F. Historical August maxima average 83°F, providing context for the modest upside bias priced into the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on August 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 6?
88-89°F 43%
90-91°F 40%
86-87°F 11%
92-93°F 9%
MỚI
$22,025 KL.
MỚI
$22,025 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
40%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 43%
90-91°F 40%
86-87°F 11%
92-93°F 9%
MỚI
$22,025 KL.
MỚI
$22,025 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
$386 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,175 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,182 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,587 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$2,084 KL.
11%
88-89°F
$3,144 KL.
43%
90-91°F
$3,271 KL.
40%
92-93°F
$2,220 KL.
9%
94-95°F
$2,660 KL.
1%
96-97°F
$3,762 KL.
<1%
98°F or higher
$553 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the NYC Central Park maximum for August 6 centers on the 88–91°F range because model guidance shows a humid, moderately unstable air mass under a Heat Advisory, with forecast highs near 86–89°F. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures in the upper 80s while clearer breaks or stronger insolation push readings into the low 90s. Surface dew points in the mid-70s elevate heat indices above 95°F, consistent with National Weather Service criteria, yet steering flow and timing of any sea-breeze or outflow boundaries remain key variables that can shift the observed peak by 2–3°F. Historical August maxima average 83°F, providing context for the modest upside bias priced into the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$22,025Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the NYC Central Park maximum for August 6 centers on the 88–91°F range because model guidance shows a humid, moderately unstable air mass under a Heat Advisory, with forecast highs near 86–89°F. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures in the upper 80s while clearer breaks or stronger insolation push readings into the low 90s. Surface dew points in the mid-70s elevate heat indices above 95°F, consistent with National Weather Service criteria, yet steering flow and timing of any sea-breeze or outflow boundaries remain key variables that can shift the observed peak by 2–3°F. Historical August maxima average 83°F, providing context for the modest upside bias priced into the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$22,025Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the NYC Central Park maximum for August 6 centers on the 88–91°F range because model guidance shows a humid, moderately unstable air mass under a Heat Advisory, with forecast highs near 86–89°F. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures in the upper 80s while clearer breaks or stronger insolation push readings into the low 90s. Surface dew points in the mid-70s elevate heat indices above 95°F, consistent with National Weather Service criteria, yet steering flow and timing of any sea-breeze or outflow boundaries remain key variables that can shift the observed peak by 2–3°F. Historical August maxima average 83°F, providing context for the modest upside bias priced into the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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