Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Met Office guidance show Munich under a warm air mass on August 20, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 26°C amid variable cloud and possible thundery showers. Trader balance at 50% each for 23°C versus 26°C stems from uncertainty in cloud timing and coverage, which can suppress surface heating by several degrees through reduced solar insolation, alongside minor model spread in frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-range ensemble consistency favors the higher end unless widespread convection develops earlier than currently indicated. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around official station maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 20?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 20?
26°C 51%
27°C 50%
25°C 49%
29°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
29%
25°C
49%
26°C
51%
27°C
50%
28°C
47%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
35%
26°C 51%
27°C 50%
25°C 49%
29°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
$5 KL.
4%
21°C
$5 KL.
4%
22°C
$0 KL.
4%
23°C
$0 KL.
19%
24°C
$0 KL.
29%
25°C
$0 KL.
49%
26°C
$0 KL.
51%
27°C
$0 KL.
50%
28°C
$0 KL.
47%
29°C
$0 KL.
49%
30°C or higher
$0 KL.
35%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Met Office guidance show Munich under a warm air mass on August 20, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 26°C amid variable cloud and possible thundery showers. Trader balance at 50% each for 23°C versus 26°C stems from uncertainty in cloud timing and coverage, which can suppress surface heating by several degrees through reduced solar insolation, alongside minor model spread in frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-range ensemble consistency favors the higher end unless widespread convection develops earlier than currently indicated. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around official station maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Met Office guidance show Munich under a warm air mass on August 20, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 26°C amid variable cloud and possible thundery showers. Trader balance at 50% each for 23°C versus 26°C stems from uncertainty in cloud timing and coverage, which can suppress surface heating by several degrees through reduced solar insolation, alongside minor model spread in frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-range ensemble consistency favors the higher end unless widespread convection develops earlier than currently indicated. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around official station maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Met Office guidance show Munich under a warm air mass on August 20, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 26°C amid variable cloud and possible thundery showers. Trader balance at 50% each for 23°C versus 26°C stems from uncertainty in cloud timing and coverage, which can suppress surface heating by several degrees through reduced solar insolation, alongside minor model spread in frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-range ensemble consistency favors the higher end unless widespread convection develops earlier than currently indicated. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around official station maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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