Trader consensus favoring a 32°C high for Karachi on August 20 reflects the moderating influence of active southwest monsoon conditions, with the Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasting rain and thundershowers across Sindh through August 21 that limit daytime heating. Recent model runs and historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with El Niño-linked above-normal minimum temperatures but below-normal rainfall in southern Pakistan, reinforce this range as the most probable outcome. Cloud cover, high humidity, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea further constrain maximums, while any temporary monsoon break could allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Updated PMD guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on August 20?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 20?
32°C 44%
33°C 24%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
18%
32°C
44%
33°C
24%
34°C
12%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
33°C 24%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
$135 KL.
<1%
28°C
$21 KL.
1%
29°C
$27 KL.
4%
30°C
$34 KL.
10%
31°C
$19 KL.
18%
32°C
$308 KL.
44%
33°C
$8 KL.
24%
34°C
$1 KL.
12%
35°C
$0 KL.
8%
36°C
$0 KL.
5%
37°C or higher
$119 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring a 32°C high for Karachi on August 20 reflects the moderating influence of active southwest monsoon conditions, with the Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasting rain and thundershowers across Sindh through August 21 that limit daytime heating. Recent model runs and historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with El Niño-linked above-normal minimum temperatures but below-normal rainfall in southern Pakistan, reinforce this range as the most probable outcome. Cloud cover, high humidity, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea further constrain maximums, while any temporary monsoon break could allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Updated PMD guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$673Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring a 32°C high for Karachi on August 20 reflects the moderating influence of active southwest monsoon conditions, with the Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasting rain and thundershowers across Sindh through August 21 that limit daytime heating. Recent model runs and historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with El Niño-linked above-normal minimum temperatures but below-normal rainfall in southern Pakistan, reinforce this range as the most probable outcome. Cloud cover, high humidity, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea further constrain maximums, while any temporary monsoon break could allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Updated PMD guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$673Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favoring a 32°C high for Karachi on August 20 reflects the moderating influence of active southwest monsoon conditions, with the Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasting rain and thundershowers across Sindh through August 21 that limit daytime heating. Recent model runs and historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with El Niño-linked above-normal minimum temperatures but below-normal rainfall in southern Pakistan, reinforce this range as the most probable outcome. Cloud cover, high humidity, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea further constrain maximums, while any temporary monsoon break could allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Updated PMD guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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