Trader consensus on peak temperatures for Guangzhou on August 20 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty from subtropical monsoon conditions, with models diverging on convective timing and cloud cover. Afternoon thunderstorms and associated moisture often suppress highs by limiting solar heating, favoring outcomes near 35–36°C, while breaks in activity could allow 37°C under stronger subtropical ridge influence. Seasonal baselines show typical August maxima of 32–34°C, but short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration highlights sensitivity to steering flows and humidity levels over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and local observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 20?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 20?
36°C 26%
35°C 25%
37°C 20%
34°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
10%
34°C
13%
35°C
25%
36°C
26%
37°C
20%
38°C
12%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 26%
35°C 25%
37°C 20%
34°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
29°C or below
$186 KL.
<1%
30°C
$191 KL.
<1%
31°C
$41 KL.
<1%
32°C
$37 KL.
3%
33°C
$3 KL.
10%
34°C
$23 KL.
13%
35°C
$0 KL.
25%
36°C
$0 KL.
26%
37°C
$16 KL.
20%
38°C
$9 KL.
12%
39°C or higher
$17 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on peak temperatures for Guangzhou on August 20 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty from subtropical monsoon conditions, with models diverging on convective timing and cloud cover. Afternoon thunderstorms and associated moisture often suppress highs by limiting solar heating, favoring outcomes near 35–36°C, while breaks in activity could allow 37°C under stronger subtropical ridge influence. Seasonal baselines show typical August maxima of 32–34°C, but short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration highlights sensitivity to steering flows and humidity levels over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and local observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$523Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on peak temperatures for Guangzhou on August 20 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty from subtropical monsoon conditions, with models diverging on convective timing and cloud cover. Afternoon thunderstorms and associated moisture often suppress highs by limiting solar heating, favoring outcomes near 35–36°C, while breaks in activity could allow 37°C under stronger subtropical ridge influence. Seasonal baselines show typical August maxima of 32–34°C, but short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration highlights sensitivity to steering flows and humidity levels over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and local observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$523Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on peak temperatures for Guangzhou on August 20 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty from subtropical monsoon conditions, with models diverging on convective timing and cloud cover. Afternoon thunderstorms and associated moisture often suppress highs by limiting solar heating, favoring outcomes near 35–36°C, while breaks in activity could allow 37°C under stronger subtropical ridge influence. Seasonal baselines show typical August maxima of 32–34°C, but short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration highlights sensitivity to steering flows and humidity levels over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and local observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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