Current forecasts from meteorological models for Moscow on August 24, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and possible isolated showers, aligning with trader emphasis on the 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Late-August climatology shows typical highs declining from mid-20s earlier in the month toward 20–22°C averages, with recent observations confirming a cooling trend from 21–23°C earlier in the week amid moderating Atlantic influences. Model consensus points to limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover, though minor forecast adjustments from agencies like Roshydromet could shift resolution if clearer conditions develop. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow expected range ahead of final daily maximum readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
20°C 46%
19°C 35%
21°C 10%
18°C 8%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
35%
20°C
46%
21°C
10%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 46%
19°C 35%
21°C 10%
18°C 8%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
35%
20°C
46%
21°C
10%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models for Moscow on August 24, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and possible isolated showers, aligning with trader emphasis on the 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Late-August climatology shows typical highs declining from mid-20s earlier in the month toward 20–22°C averages, with recent observations confirming a cooling trend from 21–23°C earlier in the week amid moderating Atlantic influences. Model consensus points to limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover, though minor forecast adjustments from agencies like Roshydromet could shift resolution if clearer conditions develop. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow expected range ahead of final daily maximum readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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