Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes amid a modest cooling trend after the 31°C reading recorded on August 17. Light easterly winds, mostly sunny skies, and afternoon instability support limited diurnal heating in the Po Valley, while climatological August averages near 29°C provide context for the tight clustering. Model spread remains modest but includes potential for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, or slightly lower values if cloud cover increases. Final official measurements from Milan stations will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 24?
29°C 50%
28°C 27%
30°C 18%
31°C or higher 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
5%
29°C 50%
28°C 27%
30°C 18%
31°C or higher 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes amid a modest cooling trend after the 31°C reading recorded on August 17. Light easterly winds, mostly sunny skies, and afternoon instability support limited diurnal heating in the Po Valley, while climatological August averages near 29°C provide context for the tight clustering. Model spread remains modest but includes potential for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, or slightly lower values if cloud cover increases. Final official measurements from Milan stations will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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