Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 2 point to sunny conditions with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, supported by persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer influence that limits afternoon heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology, where the long-term average high near downtown or LAX hovers around 77°F. Traders have concentrated probability on the 74–79°F range because ensemble consistency shows limited deviation risk absent a shift in steering patterns or stronger offshore flow. Minor upward adjustments in some runs reflect typical diurnal warming potential, while the low odds above 80°F capture the chance of reduced marine influence. Updated model runs and NHC-adjacent coastal observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 2?
76-77°F 48%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 22%
80-81°F 4%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 48%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 22%
80-81°F 4%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 2 point to sunny conditions with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, supported by persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer influence that limits afternoon heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology, where the long-term average high near downtown or LAX hovers around 77°F. Traders have concentrated probability on the 74–79°F range because ensemble consistency shows limited deviation risk absent a shift in steering patterns or stronger offshore flow. Minor upward adjustments in some runs reflect typical diurnal warming potential, while the low odds above 80°F capture the chance of reduced marine influence. Updated model runs and NHC-adjacent coastal observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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