**Marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow are keeping Los Angeles temperatures well below heat-wave thresholds on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.4% implied probability for a daily high of 91°F or below.** Official National Weather Service observations and model guidance show recent daily maxima at Los Angeles International Airport around 82°F on August 22, with today's forecast peaking in the mid-80s to low 90s under partly sunny conditions and southwest winds of 5–15 mph. This pattern matches climatological normals near 77°F and falls short of the 94°F all-time record for the date, as the typical summer marine layer and sea-breeze circulation suppress inland warming. Stronger offshore Santa Ana winds or a pronounced upper-level ridge would be required to push readings above 91°F, but current guidance shows no such shift before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
91°F or below 99.4%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
91°F or below
99%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
91°F or below 99.4%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
91°F or below
99%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow are keeping Los Angeles temperatures well below heat-wave thresholds on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.4% implied probability for a daily high of 91°F or below.** Official National Weather Service observations and model guidance show recent daily maxima at Los Angeles International Airport around 82°F on August 22, with today's forecast peaking in the mid-80s to low 90s under partly sunny conditions and southwest winds of 5–15 mph. This pattern matches climatological normals near 77°F and falls short of the 94°F all-time record for the date, as the typical summer marine layer and sea-breeze circulation suppress inland warming. Stronger offshore Santa Ana winds or a pronounced upper-level ridge would be required to push readings above 91°F, but current guidance shows no such shift before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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