Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 31–32°C for London on August 9, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A building high-pressure system and southerly advection of warmer air masses have driven a warming trend after cooler readings near 23°C on August 6. Clear skies and light winds are expected to enhance daytime heating under strong summer insolation, while ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around this range. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from potential small timing shifts in the ridge or localized cloud, keeping 30°C as a close second and capping probabilities for 33°C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 9?
Highest temperature in London on August 9?
31°C 36%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
33°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
26%
31°C
36%
32°C
22%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
33°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
$68 KL.
<1%
27°C
$43 KL.
2%
28°C
$442 KL.
4%
29°C
$369 KL.
8%
30°C
$243 KL.
26%
31°C
$397 KL.
36%
32°C
$193 KL.
22%
33°C
$61 KL.
9%
34°C
$388 KL.
2%
35°C
$84 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$138 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 31–32°C for London on August 9, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A building high-pressure system and southerly advection of warmer air masses have driven a warming trend after cooler readings near 23°C on August 6. Clear skies and light winds are expected to enhance daytime heating under strong summer insolation, while ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around this range. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from potential small timing shifts in the ridge or localized cloud, keeping 30°C as a close second and capping probabilities for 33°C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,428Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 31–32°C for London on August 9, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A building high-pressure system and southerly advection of warmer air masses have driven a warming trend after cooler readings near 23°C on August 6. Clear skies and light winds are expected to enhance daytime heating under strong summer insolation, while ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around this range. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from potential small timing shifts in the ridge or localized cloud, keeping 30°C as a close second and capping probabilities for 33°C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,428Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 31–32°C for London on August 9, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A building high-pressure system and southerly advection of warmer air masses have driven a warming trend after cooler readings near 23°C on August 6. Clear skies and light winds are expected to enhance daytime heating under strong summer insolation, while ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around this range. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from potential small timing shifts in the ridge or localized cloud, keeping 30°C as a close second and capping probabilities for 33°C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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