The market-implied odds favor a Karachi daily maximum of 34–35°C on August 1, 2026, because the southwest monsoon continues to deliver above-average cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks for late July through early August indicate temperatures 1–4°C below the 32°C seasonal normal across Sindh coastal zones, with model consensus showing only modest day-to-day variability. Short-range forecasts highlight persistent monsoon moisture and light winds that suppress peaks near or just above 34°C, while any brief clearing could allow a brief spike toward 35–36°C. These conditions align with the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the two leading outcomes and explain why higher or much lower thresholds carry minimal implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on August 1?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 1?
35°C 48%
34°C 43%
36°C 10%
33°C <1%
$31,799 KL.
$31,799 KL.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
43%
35°C
48%
36°C
10%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 48%
34°C 43%
36°C 10%
33°C <1%
$31,799 KL.
$31,799 KL.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
$4,691 KL.
<1%
29°C
$4,799 KL.
<1%
30°C
$655 KL.
<1%
31°C
$777 KL.
<1%
32°C
$2,988 KL.
<1%
33°C
$2,330 KL.
1%
34°C
$4,092 KL.
43%
35°C
$3,308 KL.
48%
36°C
$4,975 KL.
10%
37°C
$2,197 KL.
1%
38°C or higher
$988 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor a Karachi daily maximum of 34–35°C on August 1, 2026, because the southwest monsoon continues to deliver above-average cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks for late July through early August indicate temperatures 1–4°C below the 32°C seasonal normal across Sindh coastal zones, with model consensus showing only modest day-to-day variability. Short-range forecasts highlight persistent monsoon moisture and light winds that suppress peaks near or just above 34°C, while any brief clearing could allow a brief spike toward 35–36°C. These conditions align with the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the two leading outcomes and explain why higher or much lower thresholds carry minimal implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,799Ngày kết thúc
Aug 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor a Karachi daily maximum of 34–35°C on August 1, 2026, because the southwest monsoon continues to deliver above-average cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks for late July through early August indicate temperatures 1–4°C below the 32°C seasonal normal across Sindh coastal zones, with model consensus showing only modest day-to-day variability. Short-range forecasts highlight persistent monsoon moisture and light winds that suppress peaks near or just above 34°C, while any brief clearing could allow a brief spike toward 35–36°C. These conditions align with the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the two leading outcomes and explain why higher or much lower thresholds carry minimal implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$31,799Ngày kết thúc
Aug 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds favor a Karachi daily maximum of 34–35°C on August 1, 2026, because the southwest monsoon continues to deliver above-average cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks for late July through early August indicate temperatures 1–4°C below the 32°C seasonal normal across Sindh coastal zones, with model consensus showing only modest day-to-day variability. Short-range forecasts highlight persistent monsoon moisture and light winds that suppress peaks near or just above 34°C, while any brief clearing could allow a brief spike toward 35–36°C. These conditions align with the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the two leading outcomes and explain why higher or much lower thresholds carry minimal implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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