**Trader sentiment for Helsinki's highest temperature on September 14 centers on 17°C (63.5% implied probability) and 16°C (29.5%), reflecting strong model consensus for a maximum near the long-term average high of 15.7°C.** Official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute project a peak of 17°C in the afternoon under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds around 3–4 m/s, and stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. Yr.no and other ensembles reach 18°C briefly, while Foreca aligns closer to 16°C, creating the tight clustering around 16–17°C. Recent conditions on September 13 show daytime readings in the 15–16°C range with clearing skies overnight, supporting modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air. Historical analogs and climatological baselines indicate limited upside potential this late in the season, keeping probabilities for 18°C or higher below 4%. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum reported by FMI at Helsinki-Vantaa or equivalent stations, with minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns unlikely to shift the outcome materially before the close of the day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Helsinki on September 14?
17°C 64%
16°C 30%
15°C 4%
18°C 3%
$11,536 KL.
$11,536 KL.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
30%
17°C
64%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 64%
16°C 30%
15°C 4%
18°C 3%
$11,536 KL.
$11,536 KL.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
30%
17°C
64%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Helsinki's highest temperature on September 14 centers on 17°C (63.5% implied probability) and 16°C (29.5%), reflecting strong model consensus for a maximum near the long-term average high of 15.7°C.** Official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute project a peak of 17°C in the afternoon under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds around 3–4 m/s, and stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. Yr.no and other ensembles reach 18°C briefly, while Foreca aligns closer to 16°C, creating the tight clustering around 16–17°C. Recent conditions on September 13 show daytime readings in the 15–16°C range with clearing skies overnight, supporting modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air. Historical analogs and climatological baselines indicate limited upside potential this late in the season, keeping probabilities for 18°C or higher below 4%. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum reported by FMI at Helsinki-Vantaa or equivalent stations, with minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns unlikely to shift the outcome materially before the close of the day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp