Current numerical weather models from agencies including the South African Weather Service indicate a fine day for Cape Town on August 7, with light to moderate southerly winds under high pressure suppressing cloud cover and supporting a maximum near 19°C. This aligns with climatological August averages of 17–18°C while recent model runs show limited diurnal warming due to the maritime influence and lack of strong northerly advection. A weakening cold front approaching the Western Cape has already moderated interior temperatures but is expected to bring only minimal change by Friday, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 18–20°C outcomes. Updated forecast guidance and any last-minute model shifts will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 7?
19°C 41%
18°C 25%
20°C 18%
17°C 8%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
25%
19°C
41%
20°C
18%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C 25%
20°C 18%
17°C 8%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
25%
19°C
41%
20°C
18%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from agencies including the South African Weather Service indicate a fine day for Cape Town on August 7, with light to moderate southerly winds under high pressure suppressing cloud cover and supporting a maximum near 19°C. This aligns with climatological August averages of 17–18°C while recent model runs show limited diurnal warming due to the maritime influence and lack of strong northerly advection. A weakening cold front approaching the Western Cape has already moderated interior temperatures but is expected to bring only minimal change by Friday, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 18–20°C outcomes. Updated forecast guidance and any last-minute model shifts will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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