**Incoming polar air mass and associated high-pressure system are the dominant drivers positioning 10–11°C as the leading outcomes for Buenos Aires’ maximum temperature on September 6.** Strong southerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies under building high pressure (around 1030–1035 hPa) are suppressing daytime warming, with multiple forecast models and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance converging on afternoon highs near 9–10°C after overnight lows near or below 5°C. This aligns with the current trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 11°C and 27.5% for 10°C. Historical September averages for the city are several degrees warmer, underscoring the anomaly from this cold outbreak. Final resolution will depend on official observations from central stations; updated model runs overnight may refine the exact peak before the market settles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 6?
11°C 52%
10°C 27%
12°C 12%
9°C 7%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
3%
9°C
7%
10°C
27%
11°C
52%
12°C
12%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 52%
10°C 27%
12°C 12%
9°C 7%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
3%
9°C
7%
10°C
27%
11°C
52%
12°C
12%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming polar air mass and associated high-pressure system are the dominant drivers positioning 10–11°C as the leading outcomes for Buenos Aires’ maximum temperature on September 6.** Strong southerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies under building high pressure (around 1030–1035 hPa) are suppressing daytime warming, with multiple forecast models and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance converging on afternoon highs near 9–10°C after overnight lows near or below 5°C. This aligns with the current trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 11°C and 27.5% for 10°C. Historical September averages for the city are several degrees warmer, underscoring the anomaly from this cold outbreak. Final resolution will depend on official observations from central stations; updated model runs overnight may refine the exact peak before the market settles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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