Alaska's August 18, 2026, nonpartisan top-four primary will select the four candidates advancing to the November general election for the state's at-large U.S. House seat under ranked-choice voting. Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III, who won the seat in 2024, holds a substantial lead in available polling and fundraising, positioning him as the clear frontrunner to finish first. Independent Bill Hill stands as the most visible challenger, while several Democrats and other independents, including David Ambrose, compete for the remaining spots. The withdrawal of Democrat Matt Schultz in July narrowed the field. With the primary just days away, trader focus centers on turnout patterns and whether any lesser-known candidates can secure one of the final advancing positions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlaska At-Large Primary Winners
$21,916 KL.
Nick Begich III
99%
Bill Hill
98%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
35%
Gavin Solomon
2%
John Williams
45%
Matt Schultz
35%
$21,916 KL.
Nick Begich III
99%
Bill Hill
98%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
35%
Gavin Solomon
2%
John Williams
45%
Matt Schultz
35%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Thị trường mở: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska's August 18, 2026, nonpartisan top-four primary will select the four candidates advancing to the November general election for the state's at-large U.S. House seat under ranked-choice voting. Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III, who won the seat in 2024, holds a substantial lead in available polling and fundraising, positioning him as the clear frontrunner to finish first. Independent Bill Hill stands as the most visible challenger, while several Democrats and other independents, including David Ambrose, compete for the remaining spots. The withdrawal of Democrat Matt Schultz in July narrowed the field. With the primary just days away, trader focus centers on turnout patterns and whether any lesser-known candidates can secure one of the final advancing positions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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