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Chính Trị·Bầu Cử Sơ Bộ

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

icon for Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Chính Trị·Bầu Cử Sơ Bộ

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

$267,245 KL.

Aug 17, 2026
Polymarket

$267,245 KL.

Polymarket
icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$16,346 KL.

99%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$19,817 KL.

95%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$19,072 KL.

92%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$42,265 KL.

17%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$68,694 KL.

21%

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$2,692 KL.

19%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$1,314 KL.

5%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$4,646 KL.

4%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$8,289 KL.

4%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$409 KL.

2%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$13,589 KL.

2%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$3,290 KL.

2%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$2,428 KL.

1%

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$317 KL.

1%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$15,163 KL.

<1%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$1,963 KL.

<1%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$39,225 KL.

<1%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$449 KL.

<1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$2,676 KL.

<1%

icon for Dave Bronson

Dave Bronson

$4,599 KL.

59%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska’s August 18, 2026, nonpartisan top-four primary features 17 candidates competing for spots on the November ranked-choice general election ballot after term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy exits office. The crowded Republican field—led in polling by former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson, former state senator Click Bishop, and others such as Treg Taylor and Bernadette Wilson—creates the main uncertainty, while Democratic support splits mainly between Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and former independent Gov. Bill Walker draws cross-party recognition. Recent candidate forums, a comprehensive August voter guide, and pre-primary discussions among Democrats about potential vote consolidation have shaped expectations. Trader consensus reflected in current markets places Bronson as the clearest favorite to advance, with tighter competition for the remaining slots driven by name identification, regional bases, and the open-seat dynamics. Official results will determine the final four.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Khối lượng
$267,245
Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026
Thị trường mở
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska’s August 18, 2026, nonpartisan top-four primary features 17 candidates competing for spots on the November ranked-choice general election ballot after term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy exits office. The crowded Republican field—led in polling by former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson, former state senator Click Bishop, and others such as Treg Taylor and Bernadette Wilson—creates the main uncertainty, while Democratic support splits mainly between Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and former independent Gov. Bill Walker draws cross-party recognition. Recent candidate forums, a comprehensive August voter guide, and pre-primary discussions among Democrats about potential vote consolidation have shaped expectations. Trader consensus reflected in current markets places Bronson as the clearest favorite to advance, with tighter competition for the remaining slots driven by name identification, regional bases, and the open-seat dynamics. Official results will determine the final four.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Khối lượng
$267,245
Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026
Thị trường mở
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

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Có

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 20 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Tom Begich" ở mức 99%, tiếp theo là "Bernadette Wilson" ở mức 95%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 99¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 99% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" đã tạo $267.2K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Dec 10, 2025. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?," duyệt 20 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" là "Tom Begich" ở mức 99%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 99% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Bernadette Wilson" ở mức 95%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

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