**Frontal systems and maritime moisture influx shaped precipitation patterns across the Pacific Northwest and parts of the eastern U.S. on August 29, 2026, driving trader consensus toward Seattle exceeding the measurable rain threshold while keeping drier markets like Las Vegas and Phoenix at low implied probabilities.** Official NWS and NOAA guidance highlighted persistent cloud cover, showers, and stratiform precipitation in the Seattle area tied to a passing front, consistent with climatological norms for late-August marine influence, while high-pressure dominance suppressed activity in the Southwest. Short-range model consensus from ensembles showed limited disagreement on totals above trace amounts at key stations such as CLISEA, with resolution relying on verified daily precipitation data from The Weather Company once finalized. Any post-event revisions or station-specific measurements remain the key uncertainty for final settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhere will it rain on August 29?
$3,181 Обс.
New York, NY
1%
Los Angeles, CA
3%
Chicago, IL
1%
Houston, TX
4%
Dallas, TX
1%
Phoenix, AZ
1%
Philadelphia, PA
4%
Denver, CO
1%
Washington, DC
1%
Atlanta, GA
3%
Miami, FL
99%
Seattle, WA
99%
Boston, MA
1%
New Orleans, LA
4%
San Francisco, CA
3%
$3,181 Обс.
New York, NY
1%
Los Angeles, CA
3%
Chicago, IL
1%
Houston, TX
4%
Dallas, TX
1%
Phoenix, AZ
1%
Philadelphia, PA
4%
Denver, CO
1%
Washington, DC
1%
Atlanta, GA
3%
Miami, FL
99%
Seattle, WA
99%
Boston, MA
1%
New Orleans, LA
4%
San Francisco, CA
3%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Frontal systems and maritime moisture influx shaped precipitation patterns across the Pacific Northwest and parts of the eastern U.S. on August 29, 2026, driving trader consensus toward Seattle exceeding the measurable rain threshold while keeping drier markets like Las Vegas and Phoenix at low implied probabilities.** Official NWS and NOAA guidance highlighted persistent cloud cover, showers, and stratiform precipitation in the Seattle area tied to a passing front, consistent with climatological norms for late-August marine influence, while high-pressure dominance suppressed activity in the Southwest. Short-range model consensus from ensembles showed limited disagreement on totals above trace amounts at key stations such as CLISEA, with resolution relying on verified daily precipitation data from The Weather Company once finalized. Any post-event revisions or station-specific measurements remain the key uncertainty for final settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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