Current forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's minimum temperature for September 15 near 22–24 °C, consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows hover around 21 °C. Persistent northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and moderate humidity levels are expected to moderate overnight cooling, while the absence of strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiational cooling reduces chances of sharp drops below 20 °C. Model consensus shows limited spread for this short-range period, yet traders appear split between the ≤16 °C and ≥26 °C brackets, likely reflecting residual uncertainty over exact timing of any cloud breaks or localized urban heat effects that could nudge the official minimum a degree or two. Final high-resolution runs and observational updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the cooler or warmer side of the envelope.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 15?
26°C or higher 89%
16°C or below 88%
17°C 38%
25°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
16°C or below
88%
17°C
38%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
21%
21°C
31%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
38%
26°C or higher
89%
26°C or higher 89%
16°C or below 88%
17°C 38%
25°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
16°C or below
$10 Обс.
88%
17°C
$10 Обс.
38%
18°C
$0 Обс.
20%
19°C
$0 Обс.
20%
20°C
$0 Обс.
21%
21°C
$0 Обс.
31%
22°C
$0 Обс.
20%
23°C
$0 Обс.
20%
24°C
$0 Обс.
20%
25°C
$10 Обс.
38%
26°C or higher
$10 Обс.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's minimum temperature for September 15 near 22–24 °C, consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows hover around 21 °C. Persistent northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and moderate humidity levels are expected to moderate overnight cooling, while the absence of strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiational cooling reduces chances of sharp drops below 20 °C. Model consensus shows limited spread for this short-range period, yet traders appear split between the ≤16 °C and ≥26 °C brackets, likely reflecting residual uncertainty over exact timing of any cloud breaks or localized urban heat effects that could nudge the official minimum a degree or two. Final high-resolution runs and observational updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the cooler or warmer side of the envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$40Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's minimum temperature for September 15 near 22–24 °C, consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows hover around 21 °C. Persistent northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and moderate humidity levels are expected to moderate overnight cooling, while the absence of strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiational cooling reduces chances of sharp drops below 20 °C. Model consensus shows limited spread for this short-range period, yet traders appear split between the ≤16 °C and ≥26 °C brackets, likely reflecting residual uncertainty over exact timing of any cloud breaks or localized urban heat effects that could nudge the official minimum a degree or two. Final high-resolution runs and observational updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the cooler or warmer side of the envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$40Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's minimum temperature for September 15 near 22–24 °C, consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows hover around 21 °C. Persistent northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and moderate humidity levels are expected to moderate overnight cooling, while the absence of strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiational cooling reduces chances of sharp drops below 20 °C. Model consensus shows limited spread for this short-range period, yet traders appear split between the ≤16 °C and ≥26 °C brackets, likely reflecting residual uncertainty over exact timing of any cloud breaks or localized urban heat effects that could nudge the official minimum a degree or two. Final high-resolution runs and observational updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the cooler or warmer side of the envelope.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання