Official observations from Toronto-area weather stations confirm the overnight minimum reached exactly 14°C on August 29, matching real-time surface data and numerical weather model guidance from agencies such as Environment Canada. This outcome reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with climatological averages near 16°C and recent model runs showing no significant cold-air advection. With the date concluded and measurements finalized, the 100% market-implied probability rests on verified instrumental records rather than forecasts. Only an improbable post-processing revision at the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could alter the recorded low.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 29?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,779 Обс.
$2,779 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,779 Обс.
$2,779 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$170 Обс.
No
10°C
$151 Обс.
No
11°C
$110 Обс.
No
12°C
$144 Обс.
No
13°C
$121 Обс.
No
14°C
$547 Обс.
Yes
15°C
$67 Обс.
No
16°C
$101 Обс.
No
17°C
$199 Обс.
No
18°C
$88 Обс.
No
19°C or higher
$1,082 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Toronto-area weather stations confirm the overnight minimum reached exactly 14°C on August 29, matching real-time surface data and numerical weather model guidance from agencies such as Environment Canada. This outcome reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with climatological averages near 16°C and recent model runs showing no significant cold-air advection. With the date concluded and measurements finalized, the 100% market-implied probability rests on verified instrumental records rather than forecasts. Only an improbable post-processing revision at the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could alter the recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,779Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Toronto-area weather stations confirm the overnight minimum reached exactly 14°C on August 29, matching real-time surface data and numerical weather model guidance from agencies such as Environment Canada. This outcome reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with climatological averages near 16°C and recent model runs showing no significant cold-air advection. With the date concluded and measurements finalized, the 100% market-implied probability rests on verified instrumental records rather than forecasts. Only an improbable post-processing revision at the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could alter the recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,779Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from Toronto-area weather stations confirm the overnight minimum reached exactly 14°C on August 29, matching real-time surface data and numerical weather model guidance from agencies such as Environment Canada. This outcome reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with climatological averages near 16°C and recent model runs showing no significant cold-air advection. With the date concluded and measurements finalized, the 100% market-implied probability rests on verified instrumental records rather than forecasts. Only an improbable post-processing revision at the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could alter the recorded low.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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