Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models indicate an overnight low near 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, following a cooler spell late in August when minima dipped to around 20°C. Stable atmospheric conditions and typical late-summer steering patterns support modest overnight recovery, though minor model spreads could still shift the exact reading within the 23–25°C range ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
24°C 47%
23°C 19%
25°C 18%
22°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
19%
24°C
47%
25°C
18%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
23°C 19%
25°C 18%
22°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
20°C or below
$29 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$60 Обс.
1%
22°C
$183 Обс.
5%
23°C
$673 Обс.
19%
24°C
$276 Обс.
47%
25°C
$1,118 Обс.
18%
26°C
$180 Обс.
4%
27°C
$133 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$172 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$60 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$281 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models indicate an overnight low near 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, following a cooler spell late in August when minima dipped to around 20°C. Stable atmospheric conditions and typical late-summer steering patterns support modest overnight recovery, though minor model spreads could still shift the exact reading within the 23–25°C range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,165Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models indicate an overnight low near 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, following a cooler spell late in August when minima dipped to around 20°C. Stable atmospheric conditions and typical late-summer steering patterns support modest overnight recovery, though minor model spreads could still shift the exact reading within the 23–25°C range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,165Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models indicate an overnight low near 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, following a cooler spell late in August when minima dipped to around 20°C. Stable atmospheric conditions and typical late-summer steering patterns support modest overnight recovery, though minor model spreads could still shift the exact reading within the 23–25°C range ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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