**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C low in Taipei on August 30, with market-implied odds at 93%, reflecting consistent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and global models.** Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light easterly winds under typical late-August tropical conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures anchored near 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little divergence, with lows holding in the 25–27°C range across multiple guidance sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend allowing greater heat loss or a shift in steering patterns introducing cooler air, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Taipei on August 30?
26°C 99%
25°C 19%
24°C 5%
23°C 2%
$1,822 Обс.
$1,822 Обс.
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
94%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99%
25°C 19%
24°C 5%
23°C 2%
$1,822 Обс.
$1,822 Обс.
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
94%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C low in Taipei on August 30, with market-implied odds at 93%, reflecting consistent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and global models.** Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light easterly winds under typical late-August tropical conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures anchored near 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little divergence, with lows holding in the 25–27°C range across multiple guidance sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend allowing greater heat loss or a shift in steering patterns introducing cooler air, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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