**Trader consensus around a 27°C minimum for Singapore on September 13 stems primarily from numerical weather model consensus and real-time observations showing limited overnight radiative cooling under typical equatorial conditions.** High humidity near 75–85% combined with consistent southeast winds of 5–10 m/s and partial cloud cover have kept surface temperatures from dropping sharply, with official forecasts from sources like the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models projecting overnight lows of 26–28°C (roughly 79–82°F). Historical September climatology at Changi supports this, with average minima near 25–26°C but recent days trending warmer due to suppressed monsoon influences and stable atmospheric profiles. The 97.5% implied probability reflects this strong data alignment, though a localized heavy shower or model shift in boundary-layer moisture could still push the reading to 26°C or lower before midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Singapore on September 13?
27°C 98%
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
22°C or below 1.0%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
-
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
22°C or below 1.0%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
-
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around a 27°C minimum for Singapore on September 13 stems primarily from numerical weather model consensus and real-time observations showing limited overnight radiative cooling under typical equatorial conditions.** High humidity near 75–85% combined with consistent southeast winds of 5–10 m/s and partial cloud cover have kept surface temperatures from dropping sharply, with official forecasts from sources like the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models projecting overnight lows of 26–28°C (roughly 79–82°F). Historical September climatology at Changi supports this, with average minima near 25–26°C but recent days trending warmer due to suppressed monsoon influences and stable atmospheric profiles. The 97.5% implied probability reflects this strong data alignment, though a localized heavy shower or model shift in boundary-layer moisture could still push the reading to 26°C or lower before midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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