Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a mild southwesterly flow with light winds and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight into August 18, supporting minimum temperatures centered around 16–18 °C at official London stations. Urban heat-island effects and slight differences in measurement sites can add 1–2 °C locally, pushing some runs toward 19 °C. Trader consensus at 18–19 °C (over 90 % combined) reflects this narrow range amid model spread and the imminent resolution window, while sub-17 °C outcomes remain low-probability absent a sharper northerly surge. Updated guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF on August 17–18 will refine the final overnight minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 18?
Lowest temperature in London on August 18?
19°C 51%
18°C 39%
20°C 10%
17°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
39%
19°C
51%
20°C
10%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 51%
18°C 39%
20°C 10%
17°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
$172 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$401 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$616 Обс.
2%
17°C
$1,464 Обс.
5%
18°C
$1,676 Обс.
39%
19°C
$1,577 Обс.
51%
20°C
$573 Обс.
10%
21°C
$253 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$222 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$192 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$182 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a mild southwesterly flow with light winds and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight into August 18, supporting minimum temperatures centered around 16–18 °C at official London stations. Urban heat-island effects and slight differences in measurement sites can add 1–2 °C locally, pushing some runs toward 19 °C. Trader consensus at 18–19 °C (over 90 % combined) reflects this narrow range amid model spread and the imminent resolution window, while sub-17 °C outcomes remain low-probability absent a sharper northerly surge. Updated guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF on August 17–18 will refine the final overnight minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,328Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a mild southwesterly flow with light winds and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight into August 18, supporting minimum temperatures centered around 16–18 °C at official London stations. Urban heat-island effects and slight differences in measurement sites can add 1–2 °C locally, pushing some runs toward 19 °C. Trader consensus at 18–19 °C (over 90 % combined) reflects this narrow range amid model spread and the imminent resolution window, while sub-17 °C outcomes remain low-probability absent a sharper northerly surge. Updated guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF on August 17–18 will refine the final overnight minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,328Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a mild southwesterly flow with light winds and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight into August 18, supporting minimum temperatures centered around 16–18 °C at official London stations. Urban heat-island effects and slight differences in measurement sites can add 1–2 °C locally, pushing some runs toward 19 °C. Trader consensus at 18–19 °C (over 90 % combined) reflects this narrow range amid model spread and the imminent resolution window, while sub-17 °C outcomes remain low-probability absent a sharper northerly surge. Updated guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF on August 17–18 will refine the final overnight minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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