Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 27–28°C for August 19, driven by typical late-summer humidity, scattered showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities on 27°C (37.5%) and the tied 26°C/28°C outcomes (25.5% each), reflecting trader consensus around the narrow forecast band. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO influences, while urban heat-island effects and variable rainfall timing add minor uncertainty to exact resolution at the official headquarters station. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the coming hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
27°C 38%
26°C 26%
28°C 26%
25°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
26%
27°C
38%
28°C
26%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
26°C 26%
28°C 26%
25°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$141 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$183 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$462 Обс.
2%
25°C
$217 Обс.
11%
26°C
$543 Обс.
26%
27°C
$399 Обс.
38%
28°C
$375 Обс.
26%
29°C
$163 Обс.
4%
30°C
$288 Обс.
1%
31°C
$287 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$82 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 27–28°C for August 19, driven by typical late-summer humidity, scattered showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities on 27°C (37.5%) and the tied 26°C/28°C outcomes (25.5% each), reflecting trader consensus around the narrow forecast band. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO influences, while urban heat-island effects and variable rainfall timing add minor uncertainty to exact resolution at the official headquarters station. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the coming hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,141Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 27–28°C for August 19, driven by typical late-summer humidity, scattered showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities on 27°C (37.5%) and the tied 26°C/28°C outcomes (25.5% each), reflecting trader consensus around the narrow forecast band. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO influences, while urban heat-island effects and variable rainfall timing add minor uncertainty to exact resolution at the official headquarters station. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the coming hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,141Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 27–28°C for August 19, driven by typical late-summer humidity, scattered showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities on 27°C (37.5%) and the tied 26°C/28°C outcomes (25.5% each), reflecting trader consensus around the narrow forecast band. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO influences, while urban heat-island effects and variable rainfall timing add minor uncertainty to exact resolution at the official headquarters station. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the coming hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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