Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicate clear skies and light winds overnight on September 13 will promote strong radiative cooling over Ankara's elevated terrain, driving the minimum temperature to 12°C or below. Current daytime observations near 30–33°C align with seasonal norms for mid-September, but the steep nocturnal drop reflects typical high-pressure subsidence and low humidity that historically produces lows in the 10–14°C range. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 12°C threshold reflects convergence across updated model runs with minimal spread. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger advection of warmer air from the southwest could limit the drop and shift the outcome higher, though such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic pattern.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
12°C or below 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
$547 Обс.
100%
13°C
$469 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$267 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$587 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$311 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$267 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicate clear skies and light winds overnight on September 13 will promote strong radiative cooling over Ankara's elevated terrain, driving the minimum temperature to 12°C or below. Current daytime observations near 30–33°C align with seasonal norms for mid-September, but the steep nocturnal drop reflects typical high-pressure subsidence and low humidity that historically produces lows in the 10–14°C range. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 12°C threshold reflects convergence across updated model runs with minimal spread. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger advection of warmer air from the southwest could limit the drop and shift the outcome higher, though such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,523Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicate clear skies and light winds overnight on September 13 will promote strong radiative cooling over Ankara's elevated terrain, driving the minimum temperature to 12°C or below. Current daytime observations near 30–33°C align with seasonal norms for mid-September, but the steep nocturnal drop reflects typical high-pressure subsidence and low humidity that historically produces lows in the 10–14°C range. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 12°C threshold reflects convergence across updated model runs with minimal spread. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger advection of warmer air from the southwest could limit the drop and shift the outcome higher, though such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,523Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicate clear skies and light winds overnight on September 13 will promote strong radiative cooling over Ankara's elevated terrain, driving the minimum temperature to 12°C or below. Current daytime observations near 30–33°C align with seasonal norms for mid-September, but the steep nocturnal drop reflects typical high-pressure subsidence and low humidity that historically produces lows in the 10–14°C range. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 12°C threshold reflects convergence across updated model runs with minimal spread. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger advection of warmer air from the southwest could limit the drop and shift the outcome higher, though such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic pattern.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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