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icon for How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Політика·Russia

How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?

icon for How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Політика·Russia

How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?

<45 91%

45–54 4.5%

55–64 3.5%

65–74 3.1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

<45 91%

45–54 4.5%

55–64 3.5%

65–74 3.1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

<45

$1,254 Обс.

91%

45–54

$183 Обс.

5%

55–64

$138 Обс.

4%

65–74

$158 Обс.

3%

75–84

$117 Обс.

2%

85–94

$292 Обс.

2%

95+

$295 Обс.

2%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The commanding 91% market probability on LDPR securing fewer than 45 seats reflects the party's established role as a controlled systemic opposition force within Russia's managed electoral system. With 22 seats currently held and consistent historical results in the 20-30 seat range under the mixed proportional and single-member district framework, recent state-affiliated polling (FOM, WCIOM) showing 11-14% support has not shifted trader expectations ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Internal pressures, including regional leadership prosecutions and the post-Zhirinovsky transition under Leonid Slutsky, have constrained organizational strength despite the party's June congress and social-focused platform. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include Kremlin-directed adjustments to single-member district allocations or unanticipated voter shifts in the final campaign weeks.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$2,437
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 8:53 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The commanding 91% market probability on LDPR securing fewer than 45 seats reflects the party's established role as a controlled systemic opposition force within Russia's managed electoral system. With 22 seats currently held and consistent historical results in the 20-30 seat range under the mixed proportional and single-member district framework, recent state-affiliated polling (FOM, WCIOM) showing 11-14% support has not shifted trader expectations ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Internal pressures, including regional leadership prosecutions and the post-Zhirinovsky transition under Leonid Slutsky, have constrained organizational strength despite the party's June congress and social-focused platform. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include Kremlin-directed adjustments to single-member district allocations or unanticipated voter shifts in the final campaign weeks.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$2,437
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 8:53 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «<45» з 91%, далі «45–54» з 5%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 1, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?» — «<45» з 91%. Наступний — «45–54» з 5%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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