Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, in a narrow band of 8–11 seats, with most surveys clustering near 9–10. The party’s secular-right positioning and focus on security and Russian-speaking voter mobilization keep it competitive within the opposition, yet it faces pressure from rising center-right alternatives such as Yashar and Together that compete for similar voters. Coalition dynamics, undecided respondents, and potential late shifts in turnout or smaller-party thresholds add volatility. Trader consensus therefore prices the 8–11 seat outcomes as the clearest near-term probabilities, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum and any opposition consolidation moves before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено10-11 37%
8-9 36%
<6 33%
12+ 32%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<6
33%
6-7
26%
8-9
36%
10-11
37%
12+
32%
10-11 37%
8-9 36%
<6 33%
12+ 32%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$0 Обс.
33%
6-7
$0 Обс.
26%
8-9
$0 Обс.
36%
10-11
$0 Обс.
37%
12+
$0 Обс.
32%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, in a narrow band of 8–11 seats, with most surveys clustering near 9–10. The party’s secular-right positioning and focus on security and Russian-speaking voter mobilization keep it competitive within the opposition, yet it faces pressure from rising center-right alternatives such as Yashar and Together that compete for similar voters. Coalition dynamics, undecided respondents, and potential late shifts in turnout or smaller-party thresholds add volatility. Trader consensus therefore prices the 8–11 seat outcomes as the clearest near-term probabilities, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum and any opposition consolidation moves before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, in a narrow band of 8–11 seats, with most surveys clustering near 9–10. The party’s secular-right positioning and focus on security and Russian-speaking voter mobilization keep it competitive within the opposition, yet it faces pressure from rising center-right alternatives such as Yashar and Together that compete for similar voters. Coalition dynamics, undecided respondents, and potential late shifts in turnout or smaller-party thresholds add volatility. Trader consensus therefore prices the 8–11 seat outcomes as the clearest near-term probabilities, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum and any opposition consolidation moves before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, in a narrow band of 8–11 seats, with most surveys clustering near 9–10. The party’s secular-right positioning and focus on security and Russian-speaking voter mobilization keep it competitive within the opposition, yet it faces pressure from rising center-right alternatives such as Yashar and Together that compete for similar voters. Coalition dynamics, undecided respondents, and potential late shifts in turnout or smaller-party thresholds add volatility. Trader consensus therefore prices the 8–11 seat outcomes as the clearest near-term probabilities, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum and any opposition consolidation moves before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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