Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli Knesset election shows Together, the Bennett-Lapid alliance, fluctuating between roughly 9 and 15 seats amid competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Likud’s steady support. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with near-even implied probabilities on outcomes below 8 seats versus 14-16. Key factors include the alliance’s post-merger underperformance relative to initial expectations, ongoing security developments, and the broader opposition’s difficulty consolidating anti-incumbent votes. Scheduled list finalization by early September and any late shifts in centrist or right-leaning turnout could widen or narrow the projected range before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<8 28%
11-13 27%
14-16 27%
8-10 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<8
28%
8-10
20%
11-13
23%
14-16
27%
17-19
16%
20+
6%
<8 28%
11-13 27%
14-16 27%
8-10 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<8
$424 Обс.
28%
8-10
$56 Обс.
20%
11-13
$46 Обс.
23%
14-16
$105 Обс.
27%
17-19
$45 Обс.
16%
20+
$74 Обс.
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli Knesset election shows Together, the Bennett-Lapid alliance, fluctuating between roughly 9 and 15 seats amid competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Likud’s steady support. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with near-even implied probabilities on outcomes below 8 seats versus 14-16. Key factors include the alliance’s post-merger underperformance relative to initial expectations, ongoing security developments, and the broader opposition’s difficulty consolidating anti-incumbent votes. Scheduled list finalization by early September and any late shifts in centrist or right-leaning turnout could widen or narrow the projected range before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Обсяг
$750Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 5:41 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli Knesset election shows Together, the Bennett-Lapid alliance, fluctuating between roughly 9 and 15 seats amid competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Likud’s steady support. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with near-even implied probabilities on outcomes below 8 seats versus 14-16. Key factors include the alliance’s post-merger underperformance relative to initial expectations, ongoing security developments, and the broader opposition’s difficulty consolidating anti-incumbent votes. Scheduled list finalization by early September and any late shifts in centrist or right-leaning turnout could widen or narrow the projected range before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Обсяг
$750Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 5:41 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli Knesset election shows Together, the Bennett-Lapid alliance, fluctuating between roughly 9 and 15 seats amid competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Likud’s steady support. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with near-even implied probabilities on outcomes below 8 seats versus 14-16. Key factors include the alliance’s post-merger underperformance relative to initial expectations, ongoing security developments, and the broader opposition’s difficulty consolidating anti-incumbent votes. Scheduled list finalization by early September and any late shifts in centrist or right-leaning turnout could widen or narrow the projected range before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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