Recent August nonfarm payrolls surprised to the upside at +162,000 against consensus near +56,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.1 percent and labor-force participation rising. This strength has kept September FOMC rate-hike odds elevated near 60 percent, tempering expectations for further acceleration in hiring. Trader consensus on Polymarket therefore clusters tightly around 50k–150k additions for September, balancing the possibility of seasonal payback and policy restraint against the risk of sustained momentum. Key swing factors include the upcoming CPI release, any further revisions to prior months, and corporate hiring signals ahead of the October report.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many jobs added in September?
How many jobs added in September?
50k to 100k 25%
100k to 150k 22%
0 to 50k 22%
-50k to 0 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 2, 2026
<-50k
9%
-50k to 0
11%
0 to 50k
22%
50k to 100k
25%
100k to 150k
22%
150k to 200k
5%
200k+
6%
50k to 100k 25%
100k to 150k 22%
0 to 50k 22%
-50k to 0 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 2, 2026
<-50k
$236 Обс.
9%
-50k to 0
$313 Обс.
11%
0 to 50k
$199 Обс.
22%
50k to 100k
$159 Обс.
25%
100k to 150k
$261 Обс.
22%
150k to 200k
$260 Обс.
5%
200k+
$403 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent August nonfarm payrolls surprised to the upside at +162,000 against consensus near +56,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.1 percent and labor-force participation rising. This strength has kept September FOMC rate-hike odds elevated near 60 percent, tempering expectations for further acceleration in hiring. Trader consensus on Polymarket therefore clusters tightly around 50k–150k additions for September, balancing the possibility of seasonal payback and policy restraint against the risk of sustained momentum. Key swing factors include the upcoming CPI release, any further revisions to prior months, and corporate hiring signals ahead of the October report.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,832Дата завершення
Oct 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent August nonfarm payrolls surprised to the upside at +162,000 against consensus near +56,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.1 percent and labor-force participation rising. This strength has kept September FOMC rate-hike odds elevated near 60 percent, tempering expectations for further acceleration in hiring. Trader consensus on Polymarket therefore clusters tightly around 50k–150k additions for September, balancing the possibility of seasonal payback and policy restraint against the risk of sustained momentum. Key swing factors include the upcoming CPI release, any further revisions to prior months, and corporate hiring signals ahead of the October report.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Обсяг
$1,832Дата завершення
Oct 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent August nonfarm payrolls surprised to the upside at +162,000 against consensus near +56,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.1 percent and labor-force participation rising. This strength has kept September FOMC rate-hike odds elevated near 60 percent, tempering expectations for further acceleration in hiring. Trader consensus on Polymarket therefore clusters tightly around 50k–150k additions for September, balancing the possibility of seasonal payback and policy restraint against the risk of sustained momentum. Key swing factors include the upcoming CPI release, any further revisions to prior months, and corporate hiring signals ahead of the October report.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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