Recent July core PCE rose 0.2% month-over-month as expected, holding the year-over-year rate steady at 3.3% and underscoring persistent underlying price pressures above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place the August reading near 0.27%, while economist surveys center on 0.2%, reflecting mixed signals from services inflation, housing costs, and moderating consumer spending. With 0.2% and 0.3% outcomes separated by just 1.5 percentage points in trader-implied odds, positioning hinges on incoming data such as August CPI, retail sales, and labor-market indicators ahead of the September 30 release. This tight contest highlights how small deviations in monthly prints can shift monetary-policy expectations and Treasury yields.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.3% 38%
0.2% 36%
0.4% 13%
0.1% 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
≤-0.1%
4%
0.0%
8%
0.1%
11%
0.2%
36%
0.3%
38%
0.4%
13%
0.5%+
4%
0.3% 38%
0.2% 36%
0.4% 13%
0.1% 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
≤-0.1%
$37 Обс.
4%
0.0%
$37 Обс.
8%
0.1%
$78 Обс.
11%
0.2%
$602 Обс.
36%
0.3%
$481 Обс.
38%
0.4%
$110 Обс.
13%
0.5%+
$128 Обс.
4%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July core PCE rose 0.2% month-over-month as expected, holding the year-over-year rate steady at 3.3% and underscoring persistent underlying price pressures above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place the August reading near 0.27%, while economist surveys center on 0.2%, reflecting mixed signals from services inflation, housing costs, and moderating consumer spending. With 0.2% and 0.3% outcomes separated by just 1.5 percentage points in trader-implied odds, positioning hinges on incoming data such as August CPI, retail sales, and labor-market indicators ahead of the September 30 release. This tight contest highlights how small deviations in monthly prints can shift monetary-policy expectations and Treasury yields.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,472Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 8:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July core PCE rose 0.2% month-over-month as expected, holding the year-over-year rate steady at 3.3% and underscoring persistent underlying price pressures above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place the August reading near 0.27%, while economist surveys center on 0.2%, reflecting mixed signals from services inflation, housing costs, and moderating consumer spending. With 0.2% and 0.3% outcomes separated by just 1.5 percentage points in trader-implied odds, positioning hinges on incoming data such as August CPI, retail sales, and labor-market indicators ahead of the September 30 release. This tight contest highlights how small deviations in monthly prints can shift monetary-policy expectations and Treasury yields.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$1,472Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 8:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent July core PCE rose 0.2% month-over-month as expected, holding the year-over-year rate steady at 3.3% and underscoring persistent underlying price pressures above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place the August reading near 0.27%, while economist surveys center on 0.2%, reflecting mixed signals from services inflation, housing costs, and moderating consumer spending. With 0.2% and 0.3% outcomes separated by just 1.5 percentage points in trader-implied odds, positioning hinges on incoming data such as August CPI, retail sales, and labor-market indicators ahead of the September 30 release. This tight contest highlights how small deviations in monthly prints can shift monetary-policy expectations and Treasury yields.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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