Mexico's Q2 2026 GDP rebound of 1.5% quarter-over-quarter, following a 0.6% contraction, highlights resilient consumption and industrial activity amid World Cup-related construction and retail spending, setting a base for Q3 expectations. Full-year 2026 forecasts hover near 1.8%, supported by gradual investment recovery and formal employment gains, though core inflation trends and external sector dynamics introduce variability. With market-implied odds evenly distributed across growth buckets, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Q3 momentum sustains above 2% or moderates toward 1%, hinging on upcoming INEGI releases, U.S. demand, and monetary policy signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<0.5% 38%
0.5-1.0% 38%
1.0-1.5% 38%
1.5-2.0% 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 30, 2026
<0.5%
38%
0.5-1.0%
38%
1.0-1.5%
38%
1.5-2.0%
38%
2.0-2.5%
38%
2.5-3.0%
38%
3.0-3.5%
38%
3.5%+
38%
<0.5% 38%
0.5-1.0% 38%
1.0-1.5% 38%
1.5-2.0% 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 30, 2026
<0.5%
$1 Обс.
38%
0.5-1.0%
$0 Обс.
38%
1.0-1.5%
$0 Обс.
38%
1.5-2.0%
$0 Обс.
38%
2.0-2.5%
$0 Обс.
38%
2.5-3.0%
$0 Обс.
38%
3.0-3.5%
$0 Обс.
38%
3.5%+
$0 Обс.
38%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico's Q2 2026 GDP rebound of 1.5% quarter-over-quarter, following a 0.6% contraction, highlights resilient consumption and industrial activity amid World Cup-related construction and retail spending, setting a base for Q3 expectations. Full-year 2026 forecasts hover near 1.8%, supported by gradual investment recovery and formal employment gains, though core inflation trends and external sector dynamics introduce variability. With market-implied odds evenly distributed across growth buckets, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Q3 momentum sustains above 2% or moderates toward 1%, hinging on upcoming INEGI releases, U.S. demand, and monetary policy signals.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$1Дата завершення
Oct 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico's Q2 2026 GDP rebound of 1.5% quarter-over-quarter, following a 0.6% contraction, highlights resilient consumption and industrial activity amid World Cup-related construction and retail spending, setting a base for Q3 expectations. Full-year 2026 forecasts hover near 1.8%, supported by gradual investment recovery and formal employment gains, though core inflation trends and external sector dynamics introduce variability. With market-implied odds evenly distributed across growth buckets, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Q3 momentum sustains above 2% or moderates toward 1%, hinging on upcoming INEGI releases, U.S. demand, and monetary policy signals.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1Дата завершення
Oct 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico's Q2 2026 GDP rebound of 1.5% quarter-over-quarter, following a 0.6% contraction, highlights resilient consumption and industrial activity amid World Cup-related construction and retail spending, setting a base for Q3 expectations. Full-year 2026 forecasts hover near 1.8%, supported by gradual investment recovery and formal employment gains, though core inflation trends and external sector dynamics introduce variability. With market-implied odds evenly distributed across growth buckets, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Q3 momentum sustains above 2% or moderates toward 1%, hinging on upcoming INEGI releases, U.S. demand, and monetary policy signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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