The Bank of England’s current 3.75% Bank Rate and the market’s 96.5% implied probability of no change at the September 17 meeting reflect the MPC’s July 30 decision to hold steady amid elevated but contained energy-driven price pressures from Middle East developments. CPI inflation rose to 2.9% in July from 2.6% in June, with the central projection pointing to a peak near 3.2% later in 2026 before moderating, while underlying measures and wage growth show continued disinflation and a loosening labor market. Traders interpret recent communications, including Governor Bailey’s emphasis on monitoring second-round effects without committing to tightening, as supporting a pause until clearer evidence emerges on whether higher energy costs embed in broader price and pay setting. The August CPI release due shortly before the meeting remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift sentiment, though current data and forward curves suggest limited scope for an immediate move.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоBank of England decision in September?
Bank of England decision in September?
No change 96.4%
25 bps increase 2.9%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$233,950 Обс.
$233,950 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
96%
25 bps increase
3%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 96.4%
25 bps increase 2.9%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$233,950 Обс.
$233,950 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$15,415 Обс.
1%
25 bps decrease
$17,778 Обс.
<1%
No change
$127,765 Обс.
96%
25 bps increase
$59,521 Обс.
3%
50+ bps increase
$13,472 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Bank of England’s current 3.75% Bank Rate and the market’s 96.5% implied probability of no change at the September 17 meeting reflect the MPC’s July 30 decision to hold steady amid elevated but contained energy-driven price pressures from Middle East developments. CPI inflation rose to 2.9% in July from 2.6% in June, with the central projection pointing to a peak near 3.2% later in 2026 before moderating, while underlying measures and wage growth show continued disinflation and a loosening labor market. Traders interpret recent communications, including Governor Bailey’s emphasis on monitoring second-round effects without committing to tightening, as supporting a pause until clearer evidence emerges on whether higher energy costs embed in broader price and pay setting. The August CPI release due shortly before the meeting remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift sentiment, though current data and forward curves suggest limited scope for an immediate move.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$233,950Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Bank of England’s current 3.75% Bank Rate and the market’s 96.5% implied probability of no change at the September 17 meeting reflect the MPC’s July 30 decision to hold steady amid elevated but contained energy-driven price pressures from Middle East developments. CPI inflation rose to 2.9% in July from 2.6% in June, with the central projection pointing to a peak near 3.2% later in 2026 before moderating, while underlying measures and wage growth show continued disinflation and a loosening labor market. Traders interpret recent communications, including Governor Bailey’s emphasis on monitoring second-round effects without committing to tightening, as supporting a pause until clearer evidence emerges on whether higher energy costs embed in broader price and pay setting. The August CPI release due shortly before the meeting remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift sentiment, though current data and forward curves suggest limited scope for an immediate move.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Обсяг
$233,950Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England’s current 3.75% Bank Rate and the market’s 96.5% implied probability of no change at the September 17 meeting reflect the MPC’s July 30 decision to hold steady amid elevated but contained energy-driven price pressures from Middle East developments. CPI inflation rose to 2.9% in July from 2.6% in June, with the central projection pointing to a peak near 3.2% later in 2026 before moderating, while underlying measures and wage growth show continued disinflation and a loosening labor market. Traders interpret recent communications, including Governor Bailey’s emphasis on monitoring second-round effects without committing to tightening, as supporting a pause until clearer evidence emerges on whether higher energy costs embed in broader price and pay setting. The August CPI release due shortly before the meeting remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift sentiment, though current data and forward curves suggest limited scope for an immediate move.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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