Current forecast models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Warsaw of 21–22°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly winds, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward these outcomes. Stable high pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed stronger warming or cooling, keeping values near late-September climatological norms with little model spread. Recent runs show consistent afternoon maxima near 21°C, with minor upward revisions in some guidance pushing isolated 23°C scenarios. Traders appear to discount higher or lower extremes given the absence of dynamic weather features, though final resolution depends on official station observations amid typical diurnal and microscale variability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
22°C 50%
21°C 37%
23°C 12%
20°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
37%
22°C
50%
23°C
12%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 50%
21°C 37%
23°C 12%
20°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$1,243 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$133 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$538 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$363 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$166 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$365 Обс.
3%
21°C
$1,791 Обс.
37%
22°C
$2,726 Обс.
50%
23°C
$1,471 Обс.
12%
24°C
$285 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$205 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Warsaw of 21–22°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly winds, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward these outcomes. Stable high pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed stronger warming or cooling, keeping values near late-September climatological norms with little model spread. Recent runs show consistent afternoon maxima near 21°C, with minor upward revisions in some guidance pushing isolated 23°C scenarios. Traders appear to discount higher or lower extremes given the absence of dynamic weather features, though final resolution depends on official station observations amid typical diurnal and microscale variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,286Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Warsaw of 21–22°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly winds, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward these outcomes. Stable high pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed stronger warming or cooling, keeping values near late-September climatological norms with little model spread. Recent runs show consistent afternoon maxima near 21°C, with minor upward revisions in some guidance pushing isolated 23°C scenarios. Traders appear to discount higher or lower extremes given the absence of dynamic weather features, though final resolution depends on official station observations amid typical diurnal and microscale variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,286Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Warsaw of 21–22°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly winds, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward these outcomes. Stable high pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed stronger warming or cooling, keeping values near late-September climatological norms with little model spread. Recent runs show consistent afternoon maxima near 21°C, with minor upward revisions in some guidance pushing isolated 23°C scenarios. Traders appear to discount higher or lower extremes given the absence of dynamic weather features, though final resolution depends on official station observations amid typical diurnal and microscale variability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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