Forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Beijing's September 17 peak will likely reach 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation. This reflects a weak pressure gradient allowing daytime insolation to drive surface warming, though increasing afternoon cloud cover may cap extremes below the 32.4°C historical record. Trader emphasis on the 31°C and 30°C outcomes aligns with ensemble consensus around these values, slightly above the 26°C climatological average high, amid transitional autumn conditions with dew points near 21°C and low wind speeds limiting mixing. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market, with potential for minor revisions from localized urban heat effects or timing of the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
31°C 32%
30°C 28%
32°C 14%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
$31,499 Обс.
НОВЕ
$31,499 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
13%
30°C
28%
31°C
32%
32°C
14%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 28%
32°C 14%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
$31,499 Обс.
НОВЕ
$31,499 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
$2,296 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$3,364 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$2,093 Обс.
1%
28°C
$2,696 Обс.
5%
29°C
$5,464 Обс.
13%
30°C
$4,161 Обс.
28%
31°C
$2,615 Обс.
32%
32°C
$5,006 Обс.
14%
33°C
$2,055 Обс.
5%
34°C
$646 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,104 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Beijing's September 17 peak will likely reach 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation. This reflects a weak pressure gradient allowing daytime insolation to drive surface warming, though increasing afternoon cloud cover may cap extremes below the 32.4°C historical record. Trader emphasis on the 31°C and 30°C outcomes aligns with ensemble consensus around these values, slightly above the 26°C climatological average high, amid transitional autumn conditions with dew points near 21°C and low wind speeds limiting mixing. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market, with potential for minor revisions from localized urban heat effects or timing of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,499Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Beijing's September 17 peak will likely reach 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation. This reflects a weak pressure gradient allowing daytime insolation to drive surface warming, though increasing afternoon cloud cover may cap extremes below the 32.4°C historical record. Trader emphasis on the 31°C and 30°C outcomes aligns with ensemble consensus around these values, slightly above the 26°C climatological average high, amid transitional autumn conditions with dew points near 21°C and low wind speeds limiting mixing. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market, with potential for minor revisions from localized urban heat effects or timing of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$31,499Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Beijing's September 17 peak will likely reach 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation. This reflects a weak pressure gradient allowing daytime insolation to drive surface warming, though increasing afternoon cloud cover may cap extremes below the 32.4°C historical record. Trader emphasis on the 31°C and 30°C outcomes aligns with ensemble consensus around these values, slightly above the 26°C climatological average high, amid transitional autumn conditions with dew points near 21°C and low wind speeds limiting mixing. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market, with potential for minor revisions from localized urban heat effects or timing of the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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