Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological models converged on a daily maximum of 78–79°F for New York City on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwest flow. This outcome sits just above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76°F and reflects stable late-summer conditions without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Real-time surface observations and preliminary climatological reports from Central Park aligned with this narrow band by late afternoon, driving near-certain market pricing. Only an unusually large discrepancy between reporting stations or a post-hoc data revision could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given model consensus and observed conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on September 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 16?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$58,706 Обс.
$58,706 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$58,706 Обс.
$58,706 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
69°F or below
$938 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$248 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,970 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$5,073 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$9,666 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$12,774 Обс.
100%
80-81°F
$13,089 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,897 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$5,524 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$255 Обс.
<1%
88°F or higher
$273 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological models converged on a daily maximum of 78–79°F for New York City on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwest flow. This outcome sits just above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76°F and reflects stable late-summer conditions without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Real-time surface observations and preliminary climatological reports from Central Park aligned with this narrow band by late afternoon, driving near-certain market pricing. Only an unusually large discrepancy between reporting stations or a post-hoc data revision could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given model consensus and observed conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$58,706Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological models converged on a daily maximum of 78–79°F for New York City on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwest flow. This outcome sits just above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76°F and reflects stable late-summer conditions without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Real-time surface observations and preliminary climatological reports from Central Park aligned with this narrow band by late afternoon, driving near-certain market pricing. Only an unusually large discrepancy between reporting stations or a post-hoc data revision could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given model consensus and observed conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$58,706Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological models converged on a daily maximum of 78–79°F for New York City on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwest flow. This outcome sits just above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76°F and reflects stable late-summer conditions without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Real-time surface observations and preliminary climatological reports from Central Park aligned with this narrow band by late afternoon, driving near-certain market pricing. Only an unusually large discrepancy between reporting stations or a post-hoc data revision could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given model consensus and observed conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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