The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast for September 17, 2026, establishes a minimum temperature of 27°C under the influence of a persistent northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge, delivering clear, dry conditions with easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale and relative humidity falling to 55% during the day. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that bottoms out near the forecast low, aligning with the 93.5% market-implied probability for 27°C. Supporting model consensus across regional guidance shows minimal overnight cloud cover or precipitation, keeping temperatures from dropping further. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated increase in low-level moisture or a wind shift that reduces cooling, though current conditions and the low rain probability make such a deviation unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
27°C 94%
26°C 4%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
НОВЕ
$28,258 Обс.
НОВЕ
$28,258 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
94%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 94%
26°C 4%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
НОВЕ
$28,258 Обс.
НОВЕ
$28,258 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$86 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$154 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$93 Обс.
1%
24°C
$56 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,471 Обс.
1%
26°C
$7,667 Обс.
4%
27°C
$11,121 Обс.
94%
28°C
$5,182 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$153 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,237 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$37 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast for September 17, 2026, establishes a minimum temperature of 27°C under the influence of a persistent northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge, delivering clear, dry conditions with easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale and relative humidity falling to 55% during the day. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that bottoms out near the forecast low, aligning with the 93.5% market-implied probability for 27°C. Supporting model consensus across regional guidance shows minimal overnight cloud cover or precipitation, keeping temperatures from dropping further. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated increase in low-level moisture or a wind shift that reduces cooling, though current conditions and the low rain probability make such a deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,258Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast for September 17, 2026, establishes a minimum temperature of 27°C under the influence of a persistent northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge, delivering clear, dry conditions with easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale and relative humidity falling to 55% during the day. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that bottoms out near the forecast low, aligning with the 93.5% market-implied probability for 27°C. Supporting model consensus across regional guidance shows minimal overnight cloud cover or precipitation, keeping temperatures from dropping further. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated increase in low-level moisture or a wind shift that reduces cooling, though current conditions and the low rain probability make such a deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$28,258Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast for September 17, 2026, establishes a minimum temperature of 27°C under the influence of a persistent northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge, delivering clear, dry conditions with easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale and relative humidity falling to 55% during the day. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that bottoms out near the forecast low, aligning with the 93.5% market-implied probability for 27°C. Supporting model consensus across regional guidance shows minimal overnight cloud cover or precipitation, keeping temperatures from dropping further. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated increase in low-level moisture or a wind shift that reduces cooling, though current conditions and the low rain probability make such a deviation unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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