Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C in Incheon on September 17, driven by easterly flow under a stable high-pressure pattern with increasing cloud cover and no strong warm advection. Hourly guidance shows peaks near 27–28°C during afternoon hours amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C and 28°C reflects this model consensus, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below account for potential cooling from greater cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated KMA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17?
27°C 49%
28°C 30%
26°C 18%
25°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
49%
28°C
30%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 30%
26°C 18%
25°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
22°C or below
$300 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$292 Обс.
1%
24°C
$342 Обс.
2%
25°C
$278 Обс.
4%
26°C
$462 Обс.
18%
27°C
$610 Обс.
49%
28°C
$1,073 Обс.
30%
29°C
$247 Обс.
2%
30°C
$62 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$290 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$293 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C in Incheon on September 17, driven by easterly flow under a stable high-pressure pattern with increasing cloud cover and no strong warm advection. Hourly guidance shows peaks near 27–28°C during afternoon hours amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C and 28°C reflects this model consensus, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below account for potential cooling from greater cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated KMA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,250Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C in Incheon on September 17, driven by easterly flow under a stable high-pressure pattern with increasing cloud cover and no strong warm advection. Hourly guidance shows peaks near 27–28°C during afternoon hours amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C and 28°C reflects this model consensus, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below account for potential cooling from greater cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated KMA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,250Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C in Incheon on September 17, driven by easterly flow under a stable high-pressure pattern with increasing cloud cover and no strong warm advection. Hourly guidance shows peaks near 27–28°C during afternoon hours amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C and 28°C reflects this model consensus, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below account for potential cooling from greater cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated KMA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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