Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 17 likely reaching 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate rain and westerly winds around 15-20 km/h. These conditions, driven by a cooler Atlantic air mass typical for mid-September, suppress daytime heating compared to clearer periods, aligning with historical averages near 18°C for the date. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C reflect trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and real-time observations from stations like Chopin Airport, where cloud cover and precipitation have limited peaks to the 18-20°C range. Updated model runs showing slight warming potential could shift probabilities toward 20°C if skies clear earlier than expected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 17?
19°C 54%
18°C 33%
20°C 13%
21°C <1%
НОВЕ
$22,014 Обс.
НОВЕ
$22,014 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
33%
19°C
54%
20°C
13%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 54%
18°C 33%
20°C 13%
21°C <1%
НОВЕ
$22,014 Обс.
НОВЕ
$22,014 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
$1,423 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$183 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$143 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$307 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$300 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$11,651 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$2,562 Обс.
33%
19°C
$3,159 Обс.
54%
20°C
$1,699 Обс.
13%
21°C
$151 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$435 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 17 likely reaching 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate rain and westerly winds around 15-20 km/h. These conditions, driven by a cooler Atlantic air mass typical for mid-September, suppress daytime heating compared to clearer periods, aligning with historical averages near 18°C for the date. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C reflect trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and real-time observations from stations like Chopin Airport, where cloud cover and precipitation have limited peaks to the 18-20°C range. Updated model runs showing slight warming potential could shift probabilities toward 20°C if skies clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$22,014Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 17 likely reaching 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate rain and westerly winds around 15-20 km/h. These conditions, driven by a cooler Atlantic air mass typical for mid-September, suppress daytime heating compared to clearer periods, aligning with historical averages near 18°C for the date. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C reflect trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and real-time observations from stations like Chopin Airport, where cloud cover and precipitation have limited peaks to the 18-20°C range. Updated model runs showing slight warming potential could shift probabilities toward 20°C if skies clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$22,014Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 17 likely reaching 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate rain and westerly winds around 15-20 km/h. These conditions, driven by a cooler Atlantic air mass typical for mid-September, suppress daytime heating compared to clearer periods, aligning with historical averages near 18°C for the date. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C reflect trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and real-time observations from stations like Chopin Airport, where cloud cover and precipitation have limited peaks to the 18-20°C range. Updated model runs showing slight warming potential could shift probabilities toward 20°C if skies clear earlier than expected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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