Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows stable high pressure and clearing skies over the Yellow Sea region, positioning Qingdao for a daytime maximum near 29°C on September 14 with light northeasterly winds limiting marine cooling. Traders assign over 87% combined implied probability to 29–30°C outcomes because current observations indicate afternoon temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 19–20°C under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for this coastal Shandong site where diurnal ranges average 6–8°C. Minor model spread on exact peak values keeps 28°C and 31°C as lower-probability alternatives pending final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
29°C 52%
30°C 36%
28°C 7%
31°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
52%
30°C
36%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 52%
30°C 36%
28°C 7%
31°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
24°C or below
$363 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$277 Обс.
1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$276 Обс.
4%
28°C
$553 Обс.
7%
29°C
$1,778 Обс.
52%
30°C
$448 Обс.
36%
31°C
$682 Обс.
6%
32°C
$239 Обс.
2%
33°C
$241 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$560 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows stable high pressure and clearing skies over the Yellow Sea region, positioning Qingdao for a daytime maximum near 29°C on September 14 with light northeasterly winds limiting marine cooling. Traders assign over 87% combined implied probability to 29–30°C outcomes because current observations indicate afternoon temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 19–20°C under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for this coastal Shandong site where diurnal ranges average 6–8°C. Minor model spread on exact peak values keeps 28°C and 31°C as lower-probability alternatives pending final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,416Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows stable high pressure and clearing skies over the Yellow Sea region, positioning Qingdao for a daytime maximum near 29°C on September 14 with light northeasterly winds limiting marine cooling. Traders assign over 87% combined implied probability to 29–30°C outcomes because current observations indicate afternoon temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 19–20°C under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for this coastal Shandong site where diurnal ranges average 6–8°C. Minor model spread on exact peak values keeps 28°C and 31°C as lower-probability alternatives pending final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,416Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows stable high pressure and clearing skies over the Yellow Sea region, positioning Qingdao for a daytime maximum near 29°C on September 14 with light northeasterly winds limiting marine cooling. Traders assign over 87% combined implied probability to 29–30°C outcomes because current observations indicate afternoon temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 19–20°C under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for this coastal Shandong site where diurnal ranges average 6–8°C. Minor model spread on exact peak values keeps 28°C and 31°C as lower-probability alternatives pending final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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