Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 31 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph, limiting peak heating compared to clear conditions. Late-August climatology averages around 29°C, but a recent cooling trend and persistent cloud cover have kept trader-implied odds closely split between 30°C and 31°C. Minor model spread on afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow 45–55% range, with resolution hinging on official maximum temperature reports from local stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
31°C 49%
30°C 39%
29°C 8%
32°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
49%
32°C
6%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
30°C 39%
29°C 8%
32°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$389 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$203 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$288 Обс.
1%
28°C
$594 Обс.
3%
29°C
$815 Обс.
8%
30°C
$2,196 Обс.
39%
31°C
$2,353 Обс.
49%
32°C
$388 Обс.
6%
33°C
$226 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$188 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$321 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 31 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph, limiting peak heating compared to clear conditions. Late-August climatology averages around 29°C, but a recent cooling trend and persistent cloud cover have kept trader-implied odds closely split between 30°C and 31°C. Minor model spread on afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow 45–55% range, with resolution hinging on official maximum temperature reports from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,962Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 31 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph, limiting peak heating compared to clear conditions. Late-August climatology averages around 29°C, but a recent cooling trend and persistent cloud cover have kept trader-implied odds closely split between 30°C and 31°C. Minor model spread on afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow 45–55% range, with resolution hinging on official maximum temperature reports from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,962Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 31 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph, limiting peak heating compared to clear conditions. Late-August climatology averages around 29°C, but a recent cooling trend and persistent cloud cover have kept trader-implied odds closely split between 30°C and 31°C. Minor model spread on afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow 45–55% range, with resolution hinging on official maximum temperature reports from local stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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