The active southwest monsoon, or habagat, has brought persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rainfall, and reduced solar insolation to Metro Manila on August 17, 2026, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near the climatological August average of 30°C. Official PAGASA observations and forecasts, including a recorded high of 27.8°C by mid-morning amid overcast skies and 60% rain probability, align with model consensus from agencies like the Met Office showing little potential for significant warming. This strong data-driven consensus underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 30°C. A rapid clearing of monsoon clouds before peak heating hours or localized breaks in convection could allow brief periods of stronger insolation and push readings modestly higher, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 17?
30°C 100.0%
$51,100 Обс.
$51,100 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
30°C
100%
30°C 100.0%
$51,100 Обс.
$51,100 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
30°C
$5,747 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon, or habagat, has brought persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rainfall, and reduced solar insolation to Metro Manila on August 17, 2026, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near the climatological August average of 30°C. Official PAGASA observations and forecasts, including a recorded high of 27.8°C by mid-morning amid overcast skies and 60% rain probability, align with model consensus from agencies like the Met Office showing little potential for significant warming. This strong data-driven consensus underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 30°C. A rapid clearing of monsoon clouds before peak heating hours or localized breaks in convection could allow brief periods of stronger insolation and push readings modestly higher, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$51,100Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon, or habagat, has brought persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rainfall, and reduced solar insolation to Metro Manila on August 17, 2026, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near the climatological August average of 30°C. Official PAGASA observations and forecasts, including a recorded high of 27.8°C by mid-morning amid overcast skies and 60% rain probability, align with model consensus from agencies like the Met Office showing little potential for significant warming. This strong data-driven consensus underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 30°C. A rapid clearing of monsoon clouds before peak heating hours or localized breaks in convection could allow brief periods of stronger insolation and push readings modestly higher, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$51,100Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The active southwest monsoon, or habagat, has brought persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rainfall, and reduced solar insolation to Metro Manila on August 17, 2026, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near the climatological August average of 30°C. Official PAGASA observations and forecasts, including a recorded high of 27.8°C by mid-morning amid overcast skies and 60% rain probability, align with model consensus from agencies like the Met Office showing little potential for significant warming. This strong data-driven consensus underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 30°C. A rapid clearing of monsoon clouds before peak heating hours or localized breaks in convection could allow brief periods of stronger insolation and push readings modestly higher, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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